Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Penya Independent		Alzira

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.65
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.07	2.83
	2.51	3.07	2.83
	2.47	3.14	2.77
	2.47	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.97)	3.07 ↑ (2.88)	2.76 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
36.8%

Draw
29.9%

Alzira
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

31.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

31.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penya Independent's performance.

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penya Independent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Penya Independent - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alzira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.03.24	Terrassa - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Penya Independent - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Hércules - Penya Independent	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Penya Independent - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 LWWTT
- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.03.24	Alzira - Andratx	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Sant Andreu - Alzira	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Alzira - Torrent	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Formentera - Alzira	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Alzira - Espanyol B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Alzira - Penya Independent	0:0

Penya Independent - Alzira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide