Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 25

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Terrassa		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.48	3.85	5.2
	1.53	3.74	6.72
	1.47	4.1	6.48
	1.49	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	3.88 ↑ (3.1)	5.99 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terrassa
61.3%

Draw
23.5%

Penya Independent
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

29%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

30.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terrassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Terrassa's performance.

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penya Independent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terrassa than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Terrassa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penya Independent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Terrassa - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Terrassa is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Terrassa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terrassa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.02.24	Andratx - Terrassa	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Terrassa - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Torrent - Terrassa	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Terrassa - Formentera	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Espanyol B - Terrassa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWT
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.02.24	Penya Independent - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Hércules - Penya Independent	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Penya Independent - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Penya Independent - Valencia B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.10.23	Penya Independent - Terrassa	1:3

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