Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Penya Independent		PE Sant Jordi

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Penya Independent
64.5%

Draw
21.6%

PE Sant Jordi
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

24.2%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21.8%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

PE Sant Jordi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PE Sant Jordi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs) and 11).

Penya Independent is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches PE Sant Jordi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Penya Independent is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
18.12.22	Manacor - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Penya Independent - Collerense	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Penya Independent - Andratx	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Sóller - Penya Independent	1:4 ✺
20.11.22	Penya Independent - Santanyí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWW
- PE Sant Jordi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
17.12.22	PE Sant Jordi - Sóller	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Santanyí - PE Sant Jordi	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	PE Sant Jordi - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Poblense - PE Sant Jordi	2:2 ✺
19.11.22	PE Sant Jordi - Portmany	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTTL

Penya Independent - PE Sant Jordi