Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Penya Independent		Collerense

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.48	3.95	5.8
	1.5	3.89	6.15
	1.48	3.88	6.02
	1.48	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	3.89 ↑ (3.89)	5.95 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
61.4%

Draw
23.3%

Collerense
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.7%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Penya Independent - Collerense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 3 - 0, ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, ⚽,
89', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Penya Independent is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Collerense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Penya Independent is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.03.25	Llosetense - Penya Independent	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Constancia - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Binissalem - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Penya Independent - Portmany	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT
- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
29.03.25	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Constancia - Collerense	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Collerense - Porreres	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Binissalem - Collerense	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Collerense - Migjorn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.11.24	Collerense - Penya Independent	3:1
08.04.23	Collerense - Penya Independent	0:1
11.12.22	Penya Independent - Collerense	3:0

Penya Independent - Collerense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide