Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Penya Independent		Valencia B

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.4
	2.8	3	2.55
	3.05	2.87	2.41
	3.2	2.81	2.4
	3.13	2.91	2.41
	2.95	2.95	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.43 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
30.7%

Draw
31.5%

Valencia B
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penya Independent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Penya Independent - Valencia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Penya Independent is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Valencia B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.01.24	Penya Independent - Andratx	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Sant Andreu - Penya Independent	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	Torrent - Penya Independent	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Penya Independent - Formentera	1:3 ✺
09.12.23	Espanyol B - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.01.24	Valencia B - Manresa	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Andratx - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
09.01.24	Chelsea U21 - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.01.24	Atlético Saguntino - Valencia B	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Valencia B - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.09.23	Valencia B - Penya Independent	1:1

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