Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro (Sintra)


	Pero Pinheiro		Peniche

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.72
	5.09	3.46	1.66
	4.49	3.11	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (6.56)	3.26 ↓ (3.92)	1.75 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
19.6%

Draw
28.1%

Peniche
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

23%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

22.4%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pero Pinheiro's performance.

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peniche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pero Pinheiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peniche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Pero Pinheiro - Peniche Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pero Pinheiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Peniche will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Sousa Lamas D. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	SB Castelo Branco - Pero Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Alcains	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Mortágua - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Pero Pinheiro - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Peniche - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	União de Coimbra - Peniche	0:4 ✺
15.12.24	Peniche - Marinhense	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Pombal - Peniche	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.09.24	Peniche - Pero Pinheiro	2:0

Pero Pinheiro - Peniche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide