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Current Win Probability
Persatuan Kota Pasuruan 38.9%
Draw 27.6%
Persela Lamongan 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
26.5%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
26.8%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persatuan Kota Pasuruan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persatuan Kota Pasuruan's performance.
Persela Lamongan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persela Lamongan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persatuan Kota Pasuruan than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persatuan Kota Pasuruan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persela Lamongan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Persela Lamongan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Pambudi R. (G) 6. Baasith A. 71. Bagus I. 99. Caique Souza 27. Claudio A. 78. Ifan Nanda 9. Igor (C) 5. Jaime 15. Khafid A. 66. Maulana D. 33. Syahputra D.
21. Mahreza R. (G) 20. Goncalves 14. Hambali M. 27. Hanif W. 97. Maulana A. 15. Pratama Y. W. 18. Rianto I. 80. Riski Boski 22. Saputra H. 12. Siswanto H. (C) 26. Tasnim R.
Substitutes
31. Agus N. (G) 11. Anam K. 14. Budi D. 77. Chaniago P. 87. Ihsan F. 12. Lerby 24. Pradananta P. 28. Samir H. 73. Wibnu B.
25. Ahnaf N. 4. Atapelwa D. 57. Drajat R. 24. Gerryan A. 77. Harahap F. 19. Malik M. A. 7. Mena Perez J. E. 13. Pamungkas D. 54. Riza H. 17. Sadewa M. 31. Tofani R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Hanif W. 🟨,
41', Caique Souza 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tasnim R. ↓, Malik M. A. ↑,
51', Riski Boski ↓, Mena Perez J. E. ↑,
65', Saputra H. 🟨,
70', Syahputra D. ↓, Wibnu B. ↑,
70', Bagus I. ↓, Chaniago P. ↑,
71', Mena Perez J. E. 🟨,
76', Mena Perez J. E. 🟥,
76', 1 - 0, Caique Souza ⚽,
81', Saputra H. ↓, Riza H. ↑,
82', Maulana A. ↓, Sadewa M. ↑,
84', Pradananta P. 🟨,
89', Caique Souza ↓, Samir H. ↑,
90+5', Syahputra D. 🟨,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Persela Lamongan has had a series of away games.
Persela Lamongan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Persiku Kudus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Persiku Kudus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Indonesia
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Pambudi R. (G) 
Caique Souza 
Mena Perez J. E. 
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