The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Persela Lamongan 19.3%
Draw 24.9%
Barito Putera 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
27.1%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
26.6%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persela Lamongan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Barito Putera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barito Putera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barito Putera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Persela Lamongan - Barito Putera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Mahreza R. (G) 11. Agung T. 57. Drajat R. 20. Goncalves 77. Harahap F. 8. Luan 7. Mena Perez J. E. 54. Riza H. 22. Saputra H. 12. Siswanto H. (C) 14. Tholib H.
20. Ridho M. (G) 35. Abdillah H. 7. Alexsandro 36. Alves Renan 24. Daffa A. 15. Fabiano Beltrame 17. Ferdiansyah 2. Kaffa B. 34. Mahpud A. 26. Pora R. 13. Pradana B. (C)
Substitutes
4. Atapelwa D. 24. Gerryan A. 27. Hanif W. 70. Kusuma T. 19. Malik M. A. 13. Pamungkas D. 18. Rianto I. 80. Riski Boski 17. Sadewa M. 26. Tasnim R. 31. Tofani R. (G) 71. Ubaidillah A.
3. Aditya Y. 23. Cawor R. 25. Doucoure L. 30. Edginataqi G. 8. Hargianto M. 71. Iskandar A. 77. Latusonsina B. 19. Putra P. 92. Ramdhani W. 5. Saputra F. 9. Stewart C. 86. Tama S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', 🟨,
24', Pora R. ↓, Iskandar A. ↑,
30', Mena Perez J. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Agung T. ↓, Riski Boski ↑,
63', Ferdiansyah ↓, Ramdhani W. ↑,
63', Mahpud A. ↓, Edginataqi G. ↑,
65', Iskandar A. 🟨,
73', Kaffa B. ↓, Saputra F. ↑,
73', Alexsandro ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
74', Riza H. ↓, Sadewa M. ↑,
77', Riski Boski 🟨,
83', Siswanto H. ↓, Tasnim R. ↑,
83', Saputra H. ↓, Pamungkas D. ↑,
83', Mena Perez J. E. ↓, Malik M. A. ↑,
84', Siswanto H. 🟨,
86', Pamungkas D. 🟨,
90+3', Saputra F. 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 0, Tholib H. ⚽,
90+6', Mahreza R. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Fabiano Beltrame (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persela Lamongan won 1.
Recent performances by Persela Lamongan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barito Putera is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Barito Putera is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Persela Lamongan won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Persela Lamongan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).