Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Wergu Wetan Stadium (Kudus)


	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan		Persewar Waropen

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.48	4.32	4.98
	1.5	4.28	5.38	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.47	4	5.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.33)	3.9 ↑ (3.31)	4.92 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persatuan Kota Pasuruan
57.7%

Draw
23.6%

Persewar Waropen
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persatuan Kota Pasuruan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persatuan Kota Pasuruan's performance.

Persewar Waropen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persewar Waropen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persatuan Kota Pasuruan than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persatuan Kota Pasuruan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persewar Waropen than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persewar Waropen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Persewar Waropen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Persiku Kudus will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Persewar Waropen will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Persiku Kudus: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Masrohan L. (G) 86. Akhada E. 79. Alparedo G. 2. Crah Angger 25. Febrianto I. 43. Gadze R. 99. Hapidin H. 98. Mursalim M. R. 7. Tuychibaev M. 23. Wijianto S. 8. Yamaguchi R. (C)	36. Al Hakim A. (G) 17. Ayomi S. 25. Ivakdalam D. 81. Kogoya Y. 80. Kowo M. 15. Marani Y. 6. Onna J. 29. Tjoe Y. 55. Tjoe Y. 20. Wahid A. 99. Wally R.
Substitutes
77. Adhyaksa E. 12. Alam I. 13. Anggoro Z. 34. Azhar S. (G) 10. Chandra K. 37. Hartanto T. 21. Maulana F. 17. Nugroho A. 26. Ramadhan A. 3. Saputra D. 6. Sopiulloh F. 29. Zico S.	31. Ananda S. (G) 5. Fangohoy W. 4. Fardiansyah F. 12. Kosepa Z. 88. Lewerissa A. 9. Maker M. 19. Nawipa R. 24. Syahbas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Wahid A. 🟨,
21', Akhada E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Akhada E. ⚽,
38', Mursalim M. R. ↓, Chandra K. ↑,
44', Alparedo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Febrianto I. 🟨,
49', Maker M. 🟨,
53', Crah Angger 🟨,
53', Hapidin H. ↓, Nugroho A. ↑,
54', Alparedo G. ↓, Hartanto T. ↑,
59', Wally R. ↓, Maker M. ↑,
59', Onna J. ↓, Fardiansyah F. ↑,
61', Tjoe Y. 🟨,
67', Akhada E. ↓, Maulana F. ↑,
73', Tjoe Y. ↓, Fangohoy W. ↑,
77', Marani Y. 🟨,
77', Ivakdalam D. ↓, Syahbas F. ↑,
78', 🟨,
90+2', Marani Y. 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persatuan Sepakbola Kota Pasuruan
Indonesian Championship
24.01.25	Gresik United - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	0:1 ✺
20.01.25	Persibo Bojonegoro - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Persikas Subang	2:0 ✺
19.12.24	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Isenmulang Kalteng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWL
- Persewar Waropen
Indonesian Championship
24.01.25	Persewar Waropen - Persekat Tegal	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	RANS Nusantara - Persewar Waropen	3:5 ✺
04.01.25	Persewar Waropen - Persipura Jayapura	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Persewar Waropen - Gresik United	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Persewar Waropen - Deltras Sidoarjo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTL

Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Persewar Waropen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide