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Current Win Probability
Persekat Tegal 27.7%
Draw 29.4%
Isenmulang Kalteng 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
24.5%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
23.8%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persekat Tegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persekat Tegal's performance.
Isenmulang Kalteng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Isenmulang Kalteng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persekat Tegal than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persekat Tegal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isenmulang Kalteng than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Isenmulang Kalteng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Persekat Tegal - Isenmulang Kalteng Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Prasetiyo B. (G) 57. Hamdi Sula 96. Iuri (C) 15. Maulana S. 4. Mukhlis M. 18. Pratama N. F. 6. Rama A. R. 20. Saputro R. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 19. Syahertian K. 7. Tuna A.
85. Wibowo J. (G) 13. Fayrushi M. 77. Hamdi M. 17. Kipuw H. 10. Konate M. 30. Pondaag B. 18. Ramdani A. (C) 28. Satria A. 19. Satrio Mega 7. Silva A. 55. Sonriza D.
Substitutes
17. Firmansyah F. D. (G) 93. Ihwan A. 21. Lukas D. 26. Mandosir E. 55. Maulana D. 5. Owen A. 87. Pramana N. A. 54. Rumkabu M. 13. Setiawan S. 28. Sunu G. 8. Taufiq M. 39. Yusgiantoro A.
8. Abdillah S. 23. Akbar R. 67. Ariyanto R. 16. Bhagascara C. 5. Cahya H. 6. Dwi A. 22. Fergonzi R. 9. Hartono D. 80. Sandy R. 12. Toyo K. 4. Widiansyah R. 24. Zulazhar C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sonriza D. ⚽,
23', Rama A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Silva A. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
59', Tuna A. ↓, Ihwan A. ↑,
69', Pondaag B. 🟨,
70', Maulana S. ↓, Yusgiantoro A. ↑,
76', Mukhlis M. 🟨,
77', Silva A. ↓, Fergonzi R. ↑,
77', Hamdi M. ↓, Bhagascara C. ↑,
84', Fayrushi M. 🟨,
86', Fayrushi M. ↓, Widiansyah R. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Serra Matos P. M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Satrio Mega ↓, Cahya H. ↑,
90+8', Fergonzi R. ↓, Ariyanto R. ↑,
Preview
Persekat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Adhyaksa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Adhyaksa has had a series of home games.
In this match, Adhyaksa is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Persekat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Persekat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).