Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Tri Sanja Stadium (Tegal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persekat Tegal		PSMS Medan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.89	3	2.45	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.88	2.95	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (4.29)	2.92 ↓ (3.61)	2.5 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persekat Tegal
32.8%

Draw
31%

PSMS Medan
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.5%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

24.8%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persekat Tegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persekat Tegal's performance.

PSMS Medan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSMS Medan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persekat Tegal than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persekat Tegal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSMS Medan than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSMS Medan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Persekat Tegal - PSMS Medan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Prasetiyo B. (G) 15. Maulana S. 96. Iuri 4. Mukhlis M. 6. Rama A. R. 18. Pratama N. F. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 19. Syahertian K. 7. Tuna A. 57. Hamdi Sula 11. Samsudin	93. Rahayu R. (G) 12. Nurzaidin N. 16. Ferdiansyah Z. 20. Kim Jeung-Ho 5. Tenang S. 7. Nugroho A. 8. Qadri I. 68. Rahman F. 13. Saputra D. 10. Clayton 91. Cadenazzi F.
Substitutes
79. Alparedo G. 2. Amin K. 17. Firmansyah F. D. (G) 93. Ihwan A. 55. Maulana D. 5. Owen A. 32. Ramadani F. 20. Saputro R. 13. Setiawan S. 39. Yusgiantoro A.	17. Alim Z. 1. Gunandi A. (G) 33. Kurniady J. 30. Lastori R. 15. Maring A. 62. Riza B. 29. Rudiyana 23. Setiawan A. 14. Togubu R. 97. Wadil A. 32. Wijianto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Rama A. R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Atieda S. ⚽, Serra Matos P. M. (A),
29', Atieda S. ↓, Saputro R. ↑,
45+3', Kim Jeung-Ho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Qadri I. ↓, Maring A. ↑,
56', Clayton 🟨,
64', Tuna A. ↓, Ihwan A. ↑,
64', Syahertian K. ↓, Yusgiantoro A. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Yusgiantoro A. ⚽, Saputro R. (A),
80', Nugroho A. ↓, Wijianto S. ↑,
82', Saputra D. ↓, Alim Z. ↑,
83', Wijianto S. 🟨,
86', Alim Z. 🟨,
86', Maulana S. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Persekat has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

PSMS Medan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, PSMS Medan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Persekat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Persekat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persekat Tegal
Indonesian Championship
14.02.26	Garudayaksa - Persekat Tegal	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Persekat Tegal - Persikad Depok	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Persekat Tegal - Persiraja Banda Aceh	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	PSPS Riau - Persekat Tegal	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Persekat Tegal - Sumsel United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTLT
- PSMS Medan
Indonesian Championship
14.02.26	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	PSMS Medan - Adhyaksa Bekasi	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Garudayaksa - PSMS Medan	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Persiraja Banda Aceh - PSMS Medan	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	PSMS Medan - Isenmulang Kalteng	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
13.11.25	Persekat Tegal - PSMS Medan	1:1
12.09.25	PSMS Medan - Persekat Tegal	0:1

Persekat Tegal - PSMS Medan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide