The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barito Putera 38.7%
Draw 30.8%
PSS Sleman 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
27.9%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barito Putera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barito Putera's performance.
PSS Sleman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSS Sleman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barito Putera than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barito Putera that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSS Sleman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barito Putera - PSS Sleman Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Ridho M. (G) 35. Abdillah H. 7. Alexsandro 36. Alves Renan 15. Fabiano Beltrame 71. Iskandar A. 34. Mahpud A. 13. Pradana B. (C) 92. Ramdhani W. 55. Reksa B. 5. Saputra F.
32. Rizky E. (G) 19. Aryanto F. (C) 77. Dennis F. 76. Dion D. 17. Djoge S. 6. Gomes K. 11. Gustavo Tocantins 93. Injai F. 3. Lucao 28. Puhiri T. 25. Simanjuntak R.
Substitutes
3. Aditya Y. 66. Aziz A. 25. Doucoure L. 30. Edginataqi G. 17. Ferdiansyah 8. Hargianto M. 22. Kahfi B. 77. Latusonsina B. 19. Putra P. 99. Santoso R. B. 9. Stewart C. 86. Tama S. (G)
8. Alfareza A. 16. Alfarid S. 71. Fahri M. (G) 5. Fathurahman I. 22. Haqi J. 27. Kanu M. 23. Kurniawan K. 88. Mofu I. 73. Mulyana J. 15. Pahlevi J. 18. Pratama I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Pradana B. 🟨,
37', Injai F. 🟨,
39', Dennis F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dennis F. ↓, Alfareza A. ↑,
46', Ramdhani W. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
50', Djoge S. 🟨,
59', Djoge S. ↓, Kanu M. ↑,
63', Iskandar A. ↓, Latusonsina B. ↑,
65', Latusonsina B. 🟨,
74', Alexsandro ↓, Ferdiansyah ↑,
74', Mahpud A. ↓, Hargianto M. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Alves Renan ⚽,
78', Alves Renan 🟨,
83', Gomes K. ↓, Mofu I. ↑,
87', Aryanto F. ↓, Mulyana J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barito Putera won 1.
Recent performances by Barito Putera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sleman is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barito Putera won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Barito Putera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).