Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 25

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno (Jakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Persija Jakarta		PSIS Semarang

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.33	4.8	7	Watch
	1.3	5.32	9.55
	1.33	5.03	8.57	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.36	5.11	7.15	Watch
	1.33	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	4.74 ↑ (4.12)	7.25 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persija Jakarta
67.7%

Draw
19.6%

PSIS Semarang
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persija Jakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persija Jakarta's performance.

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persija Jakarta than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang Predictions

Users Predictions: Persija Jakarta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 2. Fahmi R. 5. Ridho R. 41. Ferarri M. 23. Yama H. 77. Pamungkas D. 78. Witan 10. Gajos M. 6. Bueno R. 9. Simic M. 70. Gustavo	26. Trisna S. (G) 5. Ferrari J. 31. Syawal R. 45. Buddin S. 25. Ferizal S. 14. Ardiansyah R. 16. Apriliansyah R. 56. Syuhada R. 29. David M. (C) 7. Freitas Gali 11. Sudi A.
Substitutes
8. Abimanyu S. 11. Andika F. 26. Ardhiyasa A. (G) 33. Arjunsyah A. 15. Cahyana R. 24. Fandi R. 58. Hannan R. 7. Matsumura R. 69. Munawar Y. 55. Pablo Andrade 19. Sjahbandi H. 36. Warman A.	3. Alhafiz H. 52. Darmawan R. (G) 21. Diarra B. 99. Gustavo Souza 6. Lucas 24. Ramdhani W. 68. Setiawan T.
Coaches
Pena C.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Simic M. ↓, Hannan R. ↑,
56', Syawal R. ↓, Lucas ↑,
56', Apriliansyah R. ↓, Diarra B. ↑,
67', Witan ↓, Matsumura R. ↑,
67', Pamungkas D. ↓, Pablo Andrade ↑,
69', Freitas Gali 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Matsumura R. ⚽, Hannan R. (A),
79', Diarra B. 🟨,
80', Freitas Gali ↓, Gustavo Souza ↑,
80', Syuhada R. ↓, Setiawan T. ↑,
82', Ridho R. 🟨,
85', Gajos M. ↓, Sjahbandi H. ↑,
88', Ferizal S. ↓, Alhafiz H. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Fahmi R. (A),
90+9', Yama H. ↓, Abimanyu S. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Persija Jakarta won 4.

Persija Jakarta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Semarang is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Persija Jakarta is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Persija Jakarta won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Persija Jakarta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persija Jakarta
Indonesian Super League
23.02.25	PSM Makassar - Persija Jakarta	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Persija Jakarta - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Dewa United - Persija Jakarta	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Persija Jakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Persis Solo - Persija Jakarta	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTT
- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
24.02.25	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	PSIS Semarang - Persib Bandung	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	PSIS Semarang - Dewa United	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSIS Semarang	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
17.10.24	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	0:2
Club Friendly
30.05.24	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	1:0
Indonesian Super League
30.04.24	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	2:1
29.10.23	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	2:1
16.03.23	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	1:0
13.12.22	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	2:0
06.01.22	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	1:2

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