Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 24

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Arema		PSIS Semarang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4	5.4	Watch
	1.51	4.23	6.21
	1.52	4.1	6.11	Watch
	1.44	4.15	6.11	Watch
	1.51	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)	4.1 ↑ (3.75)	5.85 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
61.7%

Draw
22.5%

PSIS Semarang
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Arema - PSIS Semarang Predictions

Users Predictions: Arema will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agung D. (G) 19. Syarif A. 5. Thales 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 87. Farisi A. (C) 8. Fikri A. 32. Pablo Oliveira 72. Setiawan B. 11. Lokolingoy C. 30. Tuharea S. 94. Dalberto	26. Trisna S. (G) 5. Ferrari J. 31. Syawal R. 45. Buddin S. 14. Ardiansyah R. 56. Syuhada R. 25. Ferizal S. 16. Apriliansyah R. 7. Freitas Gali 11. Sudi A. 29. David M. (C)
Substitutes
17. Aswin 13. Balinsa S. G. 95. Casvari A. (G) 67. Fajar S. 96. Iksan M. 12. Marasabessy M. 24. Rafli M. 23. Rifai M. 41. Santoso D. 18. Scheunemann B. 27. Setiawan D. 7. Tito Hamzah	3. Alhafiz H. 52. Darmawan R. (G) 99. Gustavo Souza 57. Madilesa F. 96. Maulana M. 24. Ramdhani W. 68. Setiawan T.
Coaches
Ze Gomes	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Pablo Oliveira ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Lokolingoy C. ⚽, Tuharea S. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Sudi A. ⚽,
41', Dalberto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tuharea S. ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
54', Syarif A. 🟨,
66', Ferizal S. ↓, Maulana M. ↑,
77', David M. ↓, Gustavo Souza ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Sudi A. (Pen),
90+4', Setiawan B. ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,
90+4', Balinsa S. G. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arema won 2.

Recent matches Arema is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Semarang is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arema could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Arema is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Arema won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:27 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
17.02.25	Arema - PSS Sleman	6:2 ✺
10.02.25	Arema - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Arema - Bali United Pusam	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Arema - Persib Bandung	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWLL
- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
16.02.25	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	PSIS Semarang - Persib Bandung	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	PSIS Semarang - Dewa United	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSIS Semarang	1:3 ✺
20.01.25	PSIS Semarang - Persis Solo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
26.09.24	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:2
05.02.24	Arema - PSIS Semarang	1:4
09.08.23	PSIS Semarang - Arema	2:0
21.01.23	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:0
30.07.22	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:1
Indonesian President Cup
11.07.22	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:1
07.07.22	PSIS Semarang - Arema	0:2

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