Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Referee: Gauzolino S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena


	Perugia		Reggiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	3.20	1.93
	3.15	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.36
	3.51	3.32	2	Watch
	3.15	3	2.3
	3.33	3.33	2.14	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.76)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	2.14 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
28.1%

Draw
28.9%

Reggiana
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Perugia - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zelezny R. (G) 4. Tozzuolo A. 28. Riccardi D. (C) 5. Stramaccioni D. 7. Cisco A. 77. Kabashi E. 8. Ladinetti R. 33. Langella C. 11. Borsoi M. 90. Vergani E. 30. van Amersfoort P.	1. Furlan J. (G) 17. Libutti L. 13. Battistini M. 14. Quaranta D. 43. Bonetti S. 8. Jonsson K. 6. Crisetig L. 21. Vallarelli F. 80. Girma N. 90. Portanova M. (C) 25. Sipos L.
Substitutes
10. Canotto L. 20. Carriero G. 2. Cesarini A. 31. Conti G. 19. Dottori C. 17. Giambarveri M. 12. Moro L. (G) 29. Renault G. 9. Sabbatani A. 26. Seha S. 55. Strappini S. (G)	19. Basili D. 26. Bertagnoli M. 12. Borriello F. (G) 32. Cavaliere E. 11. Cavion M. 85. Ezinwa A. 98. Lepri T. 55. Pasquoto Lucas 7. Rover M. 22. Sorzi M. (G) 47. Tessitori M. 3. Tripaldelli A.
Coaches
Diana A.	Tesser A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tozzuolo A. ⚽,
23', Crisetig L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Crisetig L. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
46', Girma N. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
64', Kabashi E. 🟨,
64', Cisco A. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
64', Vergani E. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
65', Quaranta D. ↓, Pasquoto Lucas ↑,
65', Vallarelli F. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
71', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
75', Kabashi E. ↓, Carriero G. ↑,
80', Portanova M. ↓, Cavaliere E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Perugia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Reggiana is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Perugia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Perugia has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Perugia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Reggiana	8	4	2	2	12:7	5	14
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	9:12	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Ravenna - Perugia	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Perugia - Pineto	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.26	Reggiana - Latina	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Reggiana - Vado	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Gubbio - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
09.08.15	Perugia - Reggiana	3:1

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