Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 14

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Pesch		Fortuna Köln II

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.45	3.75	2.17
	2.48	3.5	2.27
	2.47	4.11	2.33
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.5	3.7	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3)	3.66 ↓ (4.26)	2.27 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pesch
36%

Draw
24.5%

Fortuna Köln II
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

21.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

22.4%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pesch's performance.

Fortuna Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Köln II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pesch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln II than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Köln II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pesch - Fortuna Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Pesch has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fortuna Köln II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortuna Köln II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pesch won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pesch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.22	Pesch - Eintracht Hohkeppel	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Pesch	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pesch - Wegberg-Beeck	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Vichttal - Pesch	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Pesch - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTL
- Fortuna Köln II
Club Friendly
22.11.22	Fortuna Köln II - Borussia Lindenthal-Hohenlind	3:3 ✺
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Fortuna Köln II - Vichttal	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Frechen - Fortuna Köln II	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Fortuna Köln II - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
03.04.22	Pesch - Fortuna Köln II	4:1
17.09.21	Fortuna Köln II - Pesch	1:1
01.12.19	Fortuna Köln II - Pesch	1:1

Pesch - Fortuna Köln II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide