The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough Sports 36.9%
Draw 27%
Rushall Olympic 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
25.5%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
26.6%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough Sports, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Peterborough Sports - Rushall Olympic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Richens M. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 2 - 0, Richens M. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 2 - 1, Moore A. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 2 - 2, Moore A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 3 - 2, Hart B. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 2, Frew M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 2.
Peterborough Sports has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rushall is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Peterborough Sports may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough Sports won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
Rushall: 1.36% Peterborough Sports: 1.36%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Rushall
10
6
0
4
21:17
4
18
7
Peterborough Sports
10
4
4
2
19:15
4
16
Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough Sports - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.