Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)


	Peterhead		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.20	2.25
	2.9	3.25	2.22
	2.95	3.44	2.31
	2.86	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	2.95	3.49	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.52)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	2.25 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
31.9%

Draw
27.4%

Airdrieonians
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.5%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Peterhead - Airdrieonians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hepburn C. (G) 2. Strachan D. 5. Brown J. 4. Graham A. 11. Dunne C. 21. Forrest D. 6. Yule B. 14. Carnwath A. 7. Keir L. 10. Mcluckie B. 22. Ross S.	1. Sneddon J. (G) 5. Fisher S. 31. Gallagher D. 4. Ross C. 2. MacDonald D. 16. Smith C. 15. McKinnon C. 27. Gibson L. 10. Yates M. 22. Burnside C. 9. Mebude D.
Substitutes
3. Davies-Browne T. 29. Luyeye B. 23. Mackie F. 8. McCarthy A. 1. Newman J. (G) 19. Pawlett P. 24. Searle J. 15. Stokes J. 18. To Z.	12. Boateng K. 11. Bridge A. 3. Easton E. 8. Gallagher G. 25. Gentles J. 29. Iserhienrhien D. 20. Melrose C. (G) 6. Simpson E. 33. Taylor K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Fisher S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Burnside C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carnwath A. ↓, McCarthy A. ↑,
46', Ross S. ↓, To Z. ↑,
62', Gibson L. 🟨,
66', Ross C. 🟨,
67', Yates M. 🟨,
68', To Z. 🟨,
68', Fisher S. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
68', Yates M. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Strachan D. ⚽, Dunne C. (A),
77', Mebude D. ↓, Gentles J. ↑,
77', Gibson L. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
80', Gallagher G. 🟨,
81', Mcluckie B. ↓, Mackie F. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Burnside C. ⚽,
88', Brown J. 🟨,
89', Burnside C. ↓, Easton E. ↑,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Airdrieonians has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Peterhead has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:42 (averaging 1.1:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Peterhead against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 10:18 goals (averaging 0.9:1.6 per game).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Airdrieonians: 0.78% Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Airdrieonians	9	3	3	3	7:11	-4	12
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Airdrieonians - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League One
12.09.26	East Kilbride - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Peterhead - Clachnacuddin	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	Peterhead - Montrose	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Peterhead - Dundee 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTW
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
12.09.26	Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren 2	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	Queen of the South - Airdrieonians	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Airdrieonians - East Fife	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Airdrieonians - Stirling Albion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.03.23	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	7:0
07.01.23	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	0:3
12.11.22	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	1:1
30.07.22	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	0:2
30.04.22	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	1:1
19.02.22	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	0:1
06.11.21	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	3:1

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