Match Info

Super Liga - Round 14

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Hincesti) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Moldova	17:00	Liga TV


	Petrocub-Hîncești		Zimbru Chişinău

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.20	2.42	Watch
	2.57	3.36	2.36
	2.39	3.3	2.69	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.30
	2.72	3.31	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.8)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.44 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrocub-Hîncești
35.6%

Draw
27.4%

Zimbru Chişinău
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrocub-Hîncești has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Zimbru Chişinău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zimbru Chişinău than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Petrocub Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smalenea S. (G) 77. Cojocari S. 13. Cojocaru M. 3. Cucos C. 24. David O. 44. Guera Djou J. 90. Jardan I. 10. Musteata B. 2. Pascari V. 15. Popescu P. 21. Revenco I.	88. Dokic I. (G) 7. Caio Dantas 24. Ceijas T. 10. Cociuc E. (C) 4. Gonta C. 18. Gutium A. 23. Marcello 8. Matteo Amoroso 20. Raileanu V. 14. Rosario R. 35. Zolotov N.
Substitutes
79. Bogaciuc V. 66. Bors I. 25. Botnari I. 31. Dodon V. (G) 7. Iosipoi M. 23. Lupan M. 33. Mudrac V. 92. Nazari P. 27. Sava M. 20. Svet S. 50. Tugulea D.	99. Betivu A. 3. Boico V. 22. Bonnah A. 27. Boyko D. 17. Butucel T. 30. Macritchii A. 16. Martin C. 71. Obrejan M. 1. Rusu D. (G) 92. Sirghi C. (G) 44. Ungureanu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Betivu A. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Popescu P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrocub won 2.

In recent outings, Petrocub has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zimbru shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Petrocub has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Petrocub has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:24 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Petrocub against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 22:13 goals (averaging 2.2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zimbru Chisinau	16	9	4	3	33:14	19	31
3	Petrocub	16	8	5	3	27:15	12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
19.09.26	Politehnica UTM - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Real Sireți	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Milsami Orhei - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLL
- Zimbru Chişinău
Moldovan Super Liga
19.09.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Dacia Buiucani	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Politehnica UTM	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Sireți - Zimbru Chişinău	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Bălți - Zimbru Chişinău	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
17.05.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1
11.04.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	3:0
19.10.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0
16.08.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1
29.06.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	2:1
10.05.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	0:3
06.04.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	3:2

Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău