Match Info

Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Hincesti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Moldova	Liga TV, We Sport


	Petrocub-Hîncești		Zimbru Chişinău

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.68	Watch
	2.69	3.09	2.4
	2.45	3.14	2.73	Watch
	3.06	3.26	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.47)	2.51 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrocub-Hîncești
34.5%

Draw
29.1%

Zimbru Chişinău
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrocub-Hîncești's form might have worsened.

Zimbru Chişinău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrocub-Hîncești, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zimbru Chişinău than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zimbru Chişinău, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Petrocub Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smalenea S. (G) 9. Ambros V. 79. Bogaciuc V. 66. Bors I. 13. Cojocaru M. 3. Cucos C. 24. David O. 44. Guera Djou J. 90. Jardan I. 11. Platica S. 15. Popescu P.	12. Odyntsov A. (G) 24. Ceijas T. 29. Dosso A. 10. Fratea V. 11. Jonathas 15. Kozlovskiy D. 30. Macritchii A. 5. Matteo Amoroso 8. Sharkovskiy T. 33. Stefan M. 35. Zolotov N.
Substitutes
4. Buruiana V. 8. Demian D. 31. Dodon V. (G) 23. Lupan M. 92. Nazari P. 37. Puscas D. 19. Rotaru N. 27. Sava M. 50. Tugulea D.	20. Andrey L. 17. Butucel T. 7. Caio Dantas 77. Cojocari S. 6. Dias P. 88. Dokic I. (G) . Ermakov Y. 4. Gonta C. 23. Marcello 92. Sirghi C. (G) 25. Vasilevich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Cojocaru M. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Popescu P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Ambros V. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrocub won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Petrocub won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Petrocub won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zimbru Chisinau	13	8	2	3	27:12	15	26
3	Petrocub	13	7	3	3	24:13	11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
05.04.26	Bălți - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Milsami Orhei	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Dacia Buiucani	3:0 ✺
Moldovan Cup
04.03.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Bălți	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Zimbru Chişinău
Moldovan Super Liga
05.04.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Bălți - Zimbru Chişinău	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Dacia Buiucani	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0 ✺
Moldovan Cup
03.03.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Politehnica UTM	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
19.10.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0
16.08.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1
29.06.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	2:1
10.05.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	0:3
06.04.25	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	3:2
23.11.24	Zimbru Chişinău - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0
22.09.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0

Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide