The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Petrojet 11.9%
Draw 21%
Al Ahly Cairo 67.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.5%
19.2%
69.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11%
18.4%
72.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petrojet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Petrojet will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salah O. (G) 4. Kenawi M. 5. Reyad H. (C) 14. El Gamal M. 18. Mohamed T. 17. Hamed A. 8. Okasha M. 19. El Badry M. 12. Hamdan H. 11. Ibrahim M. 40. Sonko S.
1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Ibrahim Y. 2. Marei Y. 12. Shokry M. 23. Dieng A. 25. Zizo 5. Ben Romdhane M. 7. Trezeguet 17. Bencharki A. 29. Mohamed T.
Substitutes
20. Ahmed R. 13. Bah A. 15. Bahbah A. 39. Diabate A. 2. Ghoneim A. 25. Haggag B. 77. Khalifa M. (G) 99. Mohamed S. 22. Morsi M.
38. Abdallah M. 11. Abdelkader A. 19. Afsha 20. El Aash M. 28. Fouad K. 9. Gradisar N. 3. Kamal O. 4. Ramadan A. 31. Shobeir O. (G)
Coaches
Eid S.
Thorup J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Hamdan H. ⚽, El Gamal M. (A),
13', Sonko S. 🟨,
14', Ibrahim M. 🟨,
18', Mohamed T. 🟨,
24', Okasha M. 🟨,
41', Reyad H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ibrahim M. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
55', El Badry M. ↓, Diabate A. ↑,
56', El Gamal M. ↓, Ahmed R. ↑,
58', Mohamed T. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Gradisar N. ⚽, Ben Romdhane M. (A),
74', Salah O. 🟨,
74', Trezeguet ↓, Afsha ↑,
74', Bencharki A. ↓, Abdelkader A. ↑,
84', Kenawi M. ↓, Ghoneim A. ↑,
85', Sonko S. ↓, Bahbah A. ↑,
85', Shokry M. ↓, Kamal O. ↑,
86', Diabate A. 🟨,
90+10', Bah A. 🟨,
90+11', Abdelkader A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrojet won 0.
In recent matches, Petrojet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Ahly is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Petrojet won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 6:29. (average 0.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Petrojet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).