Match Info

Super Cup - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Al Ahly Cairo		Zamalek

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.72	3.4	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.99
	1.90	3.21	4.35	Watch
	2.36	2.73	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.71)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)	3.82 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ahly Cairo
42.2%

Draw
33%

Zamalek
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

34.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ahly Cairo's performance.

Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamalek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ahly Cairo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamalek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Ibrahim Y. 2. Marei Y. 36. Kouka A. 9. Gradisar N. 17. Bencharki A. 23. Dieng A. 7. Trezeguet 13. Ateya M. 25. Zizo	1. Awad M. (G) 4. Gaber O. (C) 28. El Wensh Mahmoud 24. Ismail M. 13. Fatouh A. 81. Banza C. 7. Farouk Gaafar S. 17. Shehata M. 22. Maher N. 19. El Said A. 90. Nasser A.
Substitutes
38. Abdallah M. 11. Abdelkader A. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 3. Kamal O. 29. Mohamed T. 4. Ramadan A. 10. Sherif M. 31. Shobeir O. (G) 12. Shokry M.	5. Abdelmaguid H. 98. Dabbagh O. 14. Hamdi A. 30. Jaziri S. 33. Juan Alvina 15. Moussaddaq S. 12. Rabie A. 31. Sherif A. 37. Soliman E. M. (G)
Coaches
Thorup J.	Abdel-Raouf A. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Gradisar N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Bencharki A. ⚽, Zizo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ismail M. ↓, Abdelmaguid H. ↑,
46', Farouk Gaafar S. ↓, Juan Alvina ↑,
46', Nasser A. ↓, Jaziri S. ↑,
49', Ateya M. 🟨,
52', Juan Alvina 🟨,
57', Gradisar N. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
60', Marei Y. 🟨,
61', Bencharki A. 🟨,
61', Jaziri S. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', El Said A. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Ateya M. ⚽, Mohamed T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 2.

Al Ahly is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zamalek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Super Cup
06.11.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
02.11.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.10.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Aigle Noir	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.10.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTWW
- Zamalek
Egyptian Super Cup
06.11.25	Zamalek - Pyramids	1:0 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
02.11.25	Zamalek - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	National Bank of Egypt - Zamalek	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
29.09.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	2:1
11.03.25	Zamalek - Al Ahly Cairo	Zamalek awarded
22.02.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	1:1
Egyptian Super Cup
24.10.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	1:0 penalties
CAF Super Cup
27.09.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	1:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
25.06.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	Al Ahly awarded
15.04.24	Zamalek - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1

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