Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploiesti)

Referee: Mladinovici H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Petrolul Ploieşti		Sepsi OSK

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.75	2.9	2.7
	2.84	2.86	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.86	2.84	2.75	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.96)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolul Ploieşti
34.5%

Draw
31.9%

Sepsi OSK
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

31%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

29.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sepsi OSK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sepsi OSK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ploiesti will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Sepsi will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ploiesti: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ploiesti (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sepsi (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ploiesti (votes: 3 - 30%). Sepsi (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balbarau R. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Papp P. 69. Roche Y. 22. Radu D. 8. Mateiu A. 11. Gheorghe V. 20. Hanca S. 6. Jyry T. 7. Grozav G. 9. Irobiso C.	33. Niczuly R. (G) 24. Simic M. 4. Harut D. 82. Ninaj B. 3. Stefan F. 5. Mino S. 10. Matei C. 7. El Sawy O. 9. Coman M. 11. Oberlin D. 77. Neskovic M.
Substitutes
36. Botogan A. 10. Bratu M. 77. Demirel A. 12. Esanu M. (G) 2. Huja M. 29. Ludewig K. 90. Raducan I. 17. Radulescu M. 33. Stancovici V. 3. Stanica A. 30. Tolea I.	22. Debeljuh G. 20. Draghiceanu M. 2. Dumitrescu A. 31. Gyenge S. (G) 59. Kallaku S. 30. Nistor A. 17. Oroian D. 25. Otelita B. 18. Siger D. 8. Skorup D. 44. Tamas M.
Coaches
Topal M.	Munteanu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, El Sawy O. ⚽, Oberlin D. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Mateiu A. ⚽, Roche Y. (A),
22', El Sawy O. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Irobiso C. ⚽,
41', Papp P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Stefan F. ↓, Dumitrescu A. ↑,
61', Hanca S. 🟥,
62', Simic M. ↓, Skorup D. ↑,
62', El Sawy O. ↓, Otelita B. ↑,
71', Gheorghe V. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
73', Matei C. ↓, Kallaku S. ↑,
73', Coman M. ↓, Debeljuh G. ↑,
79', Irobiso C. ↓, Botogan A. ↑,
80', Grozav G. 🟨,
90', Grozav G. ↓, Stanica A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ploiesti won 1.

Recent matches Ploiesti is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sepsi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ploiesti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ploiesti: Akosah-Bempah N. (Injury) Dumitriu L. (Injury) Keita T. (Red Card) Roche Y. (Injury) Ticu V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Sepsi: Paun N. I. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ploiesti won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ploiesti won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.1:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
28.03.25	Unirea Slobozia - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Steaua București - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
14.03.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Botoșani	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Politehnica Iași - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWL
- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
28.03.25	Sepsi OSK - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Sepsi OSK - Gloria Buzău	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Sepsi OSK - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	UTA Arad - Sepsi OSK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
08.03.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	1:0
02.11.24	Sepsi OSK - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
08.03.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	1:2
Romanian Cup
07.12.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	2:2
Romanian SuperLiga
04.11.23	Sepsi OSK - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:0
Club Friendly
23.11.22	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	2:2
Romanian SuperLiga
11.11.22	Sepsi OSK - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0

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