Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploiesti)

Referee: Flueran V. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Romania	Prima Sport 1


	Petrolul Ploieşti		Voluntari

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3	3.8	Watch
	2	3	4	Watch
	2	3.07	4.45
	1.99	3.07	4.45
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.95	3.28	4.04	Watch
	2.03	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.03)	3.1 (3.1)	4 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolul Ploieşti
46.8%

Draw
29.9%

Voluntari
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

22.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Voluntari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrolul Ploieşti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Voluntari than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Voluntari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Petrolul Ploieşti - Voluntari Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ploiesti will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Voluntari will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Zima L. (G) 44. Dumitriu L. 4. Papp P. 2. Huja M. 5. Ticu V. (C) 20. Hanca S. 82. Diomande I. 99. Musi A. 8. Jair 7. Grozav G. 19. Irobiso C.	1. Valceanu O. (G) 24. Ricardinho 34. Matricardi P. 5. Armas I. (C) 27. Boboc R. 22. Rata V. 4. Crepulja L. 7. Aliji N. 9. Dumiter A. 77. Nemec A. 17. Andrei D.
Substitutes
1. Balbarau R. (G) 9. Berisha A. 10. Bratu M. 97. Dumitrache A. 34. Garutti 31. Isfan A. 6. Jyry T. 3. Meijers B. 13. Raducan I. 22. Radu R. D. 11. Seto T.	23. Carnat N. 80. Ciobanu A. 6. Droppa L. 88. Fernandez J. (G) 11. Florea D. 10. Merloi G. 2. Paz C. 20. Popescu R. 8. Radut M. 38. Roemer Y. 26. Turda G. 72. Voican R.
Coaches
Stinga F.	Pirvu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Rata V. ⚽, Aliji N. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Armas I. ⚽, Rata V. (A),
44', Ticu V. 🟨,
44', Dumiter A. 🟨,
45', Andrei D. ↓, Merloi G. ↑,
45+5', 0 - 3, Nemec A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Huja M. ↓, Meijers B. ↑,
46', Dumitriu L. ↓, Isfan A. ↑,
46', Irobiso C. ↓, Berisha A. ↑,
51', Diomande I. 🟨,
60', 0 - 4, Merloi G. ⚽, Boboc R. (A),
64', Musi A. ↓, Bratu M. ↑,
68', Diomande I. ↓, Jyry T. ↑,
75', Nemec A. ↓, Carnat N. ↑,
90+1', Aliji N. ↓, Popescu R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ploiesti won 1.

Ploiesti is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Voluntari is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Voluntari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ploiesti will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ploiesti won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ploiesti won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
01.04.24	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - U Craiova 1948	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
29.02.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLL
- FC Voluntari
Romanian Cup
03.04.24	U Craiova 1948 - Voluntari	0:1 penalties ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
29.03.24	Voluntari - Hermannstadt	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	UTA Arad - Voluntari	4:3 ✺
08.03.24	Voluntari - Universitatea Cluj	0:0 ✺
04.03.24	Sepsi OSK - Voluntari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.23	Voluntari - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:0
31.07.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Voluntari	0:2
24.04.23	Voluntari - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:2
29.10.22	Voluntari - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1
18.07.22	Petrolul Ploieşti - Voluntari	0:1
21.05.16	Voluntari - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0
02.04.16	Petrolul Ploieşti - Voluntari	1:2

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