Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Petrópolis		Serra Macaense

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.57	3.45	4.6
	1.55	3.55	4.85
	1.67	3.57	4.94
	1.66	3.6	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	4.85 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
56.1%

Draw
25.3%

Serra Macaense
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

17.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Serra Macaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Macaense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serra Macaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 6).

Gonçalense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Serra Macaense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Serra Macaense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gonçalense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.10.20	Nova Cidade - Petrópolis	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Petrópolis - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Maricá - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
30.09.20	Petrópolis - Rio São Paulo	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTTW
- Serra Macaense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.10.20	Serra Macaense - Maricá	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Rio São Paulo - Serra Macaense	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Serra Macaense - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Olaria - Serra Macaense	2:2 ✺
30.09.20	Serra Macaense - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTTL

Petrópolis - Serra Macaense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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