The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Petrópolis 32.9%
Draw 34.3%
Serrano FC 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
30.6%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
29.2%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrópolis's form might have worsened.
Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serrano FC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serrano FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Petrópolis - Serrano FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th and 3rd in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Recently, Serrano has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Petrópolis holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Petrópolis has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Petrópolis against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
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