Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Pevidem		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.24	3	3.1
	2.29	2.9	3.16
	2.24	3.02	3.22
	2.22	3.05	3.12
	2.24	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
40.5%

Draw
30.4%

Tirsense
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Pevidem - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Marna J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 🟥,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Pevidem have a series of home games.

Pevidem will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Pevidem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Pevidem - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.24	Pevidem - Brito	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Vianense - Pevidem	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Pevidem - Marítimo	2:1 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.24	Pevidem - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LTWWW
- Tirsense
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Caldas - Tirsense	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Tirsense - Vianense	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Vila Real - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Tirsense - Vieira	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.09.24	Tirsense - Joane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.03.24	Pevidem - Tirsense	3:1
12.11.23	Tirsense - Pevidem	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Tirsense - Pevidem	1:2
20.11.22	Pevidem - Tirsense	1:3
24.01.21	Tirsense - Pevidem	1:3
14.11.20	Pevidem - Tirsense	5:0

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