Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo da Mata (Caldas da Rainha)


	Caldas		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.51	3.7	5.75
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.57	3.62	5.74
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.59	3.86	5.63
	1.57	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.54)	3.7 (3.7)	5.73 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
59.3%

Draw
24.8%

Tirsense
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

25.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Tirsense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Caldas - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Luis Paulo (G) 17. Barreiras G. 13. Dias R. 77. Lopes D. 16. Lopez K. 6. Militao T. 30. Monteiro E. 20. Rafa Pinto 4. Santos D. 11. Velosa M. 14. Viegas E.	16. Goncalves T. (G) 4. Cardoso G. (C) 18. Carvalho B. 9. Julio Estevao 14. Junior Franco 5. Maia R. 10. Mesquita B. 31. Oscar 7. Pereira J. 8. Rodrigues D. 33. Silva J.
Substitutes
22. Alexandre R. 12. Almeida D. (G) 50. Balelo 32. Cascao F. 8. Clemente D. 88. Machado A. 5. Pepo 24. Sousa J. 2. Yordy Marcelo	74. Alves F. 1. Figueiredo G. (G) 17. Fontes A. 13. Joao P. 27. Martins J. 21. Morais Silva G. 3. Nascimento R. 70. Seidi G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Viegas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Oscar ⚽,
53', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Julio Estevao ⚽,
78', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Caldas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Atlético CP - Caldas	4:0 ✺
28.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Marinhense - Caldas	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Caldas - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Tirsense - Vianense	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Vila Real - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Tirsense - Vieira	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.09.24	Tirsense - Joane	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Bragança - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLL

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