Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Peña Balsamaiso		Calahorra B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.8
	3.66	3.8	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	3.7 ↑ (3.31)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Balsamaiso
25.7%

Draw
24.5%

Calahorra B
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Calahorra B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra B than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calahorra B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

Peña Balsamaiso is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Calahorra B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Calahorra B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Calahorra B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.04.24	Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada	3:2 ✺
31.03.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Racing Rioja - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Varea	3:2 ✺
10.03.24	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWLWW
- Calahorra B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.04.24	Calahorra B - Vianés	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Racing Rioja - Calahorra B	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Calahorra B - Varea	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Haro Deportivo - Calahorra B	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Calahorra B - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
02.12.23	Calahorra B - Peña Balsamaiso	4:2
15.01.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Calahorra B	0:2

Peña Balsamaiso - Calahorra B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide