The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peña Balsamaiso 12.3%
Draw 21%
La Calzada 66.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
24%
57.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
22.2%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Calzada's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Calzada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
La Calzada's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, La Calzada is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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