The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peña Deportiva 25.3%
Draw 32.7%
Mallorca B 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
30.1%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
29.9%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Mallorca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Peña Deportiva - Mallorca B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Deportiva won 2.
In recent matches, Peña Deportiva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mallorca B is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mallorca B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Mallorca B might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peña Deportiva won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Peña Deportiva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Peña Deportiva - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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