Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Santanyí		Mallorca B

	1	X	2
	8.1	4.55	1.3
	7.97	4.5	1.36
	7.86	3.63	1.47	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.36
	6.99	4.52	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.68 ↓ (7.85)	4.28 ↓ (5.2)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santanyí
12%

Draw
21.5%

Mallorca B
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

17.7%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

16.6%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santanyí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mallorca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca B than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santanyí - Mallorca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 1.

Santanyí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mallorca B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Santanyí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mallorca B is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:25. (average 0.5:3.1).

Including home match between the teams, Santanyí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Santanyi	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.03.26	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Santanyí - Formentera	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Inter Ibiza - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santanyí - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cardassar - Santanyí	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTLTW
- Mallorca B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.26	Mallorca B - Son Cladera	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Alcúdia - Mallorca B	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Constancia - Mallorca B	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mallorca B - Platges de Calvià	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Formentera - Mallorca B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.11.25	Mallorca B - Santanyí	9:0
08.02.24	Mallorca B - Santanyí	0:0
23.01.22	Mallorca B - Santanyí	4:0
21.02.21	Mallorca B - Santanyí	1:0
14.11.20	Santanyí - Mallorca B	2:0
03.11.19	Mallorca B - Santanyí	2:1
13.10.18	Mallorca B - Santanyí	3:1

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