Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 31

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.8	4.2
	1.95	2.7	4.5
	2.03	2.83	4.47
	1.97	2.94	4.2
	1.93	2.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)	4.31 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
46.7%

Draw
32.2%

Teruel
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teruel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Teruel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Peña Deportiva - Teruel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peña Deportiva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Peña Deportiva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.04.23	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Peña Deportiva - Prat	4:1 ✺
02.04.23	Badalona Futur - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
26.03.23	Peña Deportiva - Mallorca B	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Peña Deportiva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- CD Teruel
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.04.23	Teruel - Valencia B	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Ebro - Teruel	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Teruel - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Teruel - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Prat - Teruel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.12.22	Teruel - Peña Deportiva	2:1
03.04.22	Teruel - Peña Deportiva	1:1
14.11.21	Peña Deportiva - Teruel	2:2

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