Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5Date: 3 October 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
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Peña Sport |
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SD Logroñés |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.70 |
2.95 |
2.37 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.92 |
2.42 |
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 |
2.71 |
3.39 |
2.34 |
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 |
2.76 |
3.3 |
2.37 |
 Watch |
 |
2.65 |
3.3 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.94 |
3.32 |
2.45 |
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2.75 |
2.95 |
2.41 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(3.67) |
3.16 ↓
(3.26) |
2.37 ↑
(1.99) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peña Sport
33% | Draw
28.7% | SD Logroñés
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peña Sport's performance.SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peña Sport that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Peña Sport - SD Logroñés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Recalde J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 67', de Miguel Calleja D. 🟥,
- 78', 2 - 0, Asiron J. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 0, Albizu A. ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 0, Albizu A. ⚽,
Preview
Peña Sport has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).SD Logroñés has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins). The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Peña Sport has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
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| 16 | SD Logrones | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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