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Current Win Probability
Peñaranda 30.2%
Draw 31.1%
Bembibre 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
26.8%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
19.8%
54.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñaranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñaranda than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñaranda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bembibre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peñaranda - Bembibre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 8 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 8 (Second stage)).
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Bembibre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Bembibre have a series of home games.
Bembibre will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñaranda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.