Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Bembibre

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9
	1.26	4.71	8.77
	1.25	4.99	11.47
	1.23	5.1	11.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	4.95 ↑ (4.2)	10.11 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
72.7%

Draw
18.3%

Bembibre
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Astorga's performance.

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Astorga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Atlético Astorga - Bembibre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Mas C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.25	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLW
- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.01.25	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Bembibre - Becerril	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Bembibre - Villaralbo	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Briviesca - Bembibre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.09.24	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	1:3
06.04.24	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	2:1
19.11.23	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	0:0
25.02.23	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	1:1
23.10.22	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	0:2
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.01.22	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	0:0

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