Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Phönix Lübeck		Werder Bremen II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.88
	2	4.09	3.34
	2.07	3.88	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)	3.89 ↑ (3.62)	3.01 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phönix Lübeck
45.2%

Draw
23.9%

Werder Bremen II
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phönix Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Werder Bremen II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen II than the current prediction. (+2%)

Phönix Lübeck - Werder Bremen II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Phönix Lübeck (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Dammeier M. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Inaka A. ⚽,

Preview

Phönix Lübeck is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Werder Bremen II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Werder Bremen II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Werder Bremen II has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Phönix Lübeck won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Phönix Lübeck won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
17.08.25	Hannoverscher SC - Phönix Lübeck	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Phönix Lübeck - Eintracht Norderstedt	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Phönix Lübeck - Blau-Weiß Lohne	5:0 ✺
26.07.25	SC Weiche-08 - Phönix Lübeck	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Dynamo Schwerin - Phönix Lübeck	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWW
- Werder Bremen II
German Regionalliga North
20.08.25	Schöningen - Werder Bremen II	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Werder Bremen II - SC Weiche-08	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Osnabrück - Werder Bremen II	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Werder Bremen II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
26.03.25	Phönix Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	0:0
27.11.24	Werder Bremen II - Phönix Lübeck	3:1
27.05.23	Phönix Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	3:2
01.02.23	Werder Bremen II - Phönix Lübeck	1:2

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