Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 28

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Huai Ma Stadium (Phrae)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Phrae United		Nakhon Si United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	4.95
	1.49	4.06	4.92
	1.54	4.12	4.96	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.47	4.15	5.55
	1.53	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	3.98 ↑ (3.75)	5 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phrae United
59.5%

Draw
22.6%

Nakhon Si United
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phrae United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nakhon Si United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Si United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Phrae United - Nakhon Si United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phrae won 2.

Phrae is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Nakhon Si has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Phrae may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nakhon Si has had a series of home games.

In this match, Phrae is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Phrae won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Phrae won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Phrae	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phrae United
Thai League 2
01.03.26	Chanthaburi - Phrae United	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Phrae United - Sisaket United	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Bangkok FC - Phrae United	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Phrae United - Chainat	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Phrae United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWL
- Nakhon Si United
Thai League 2
01.03.26	Nakhon Si United - Mahasarakham	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nakhon Si United - Chiangmai United	3:1 ✺
19.02.26	Nakhon Si United - Kasetsart	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Si United	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Nakhon Si United - Khonkaen United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
07.11.25	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	1:1
Thai FA Cup
09.04.25	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	2:1
Thai League 2
12.02.25	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	4:1
06.10.24	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	3:0
10.03.24	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	1:2
12.11.23	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	5:0
15.03.23	Phrae United - Nakhon Si United	1:1

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