Match Info
Thai League 2 - Round 23Date: 11 February 2026, WednesdayLocation: Huai Ma Stadium (Phrae)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
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Phrae United |
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Nongbua Pitchaya |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.3 |
3.25 |
2.72 |
 Watch |
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2.29 |
3.28 |
2.65 |
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2.28 |
3.53 |
2.7 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
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2.3 |
3.26 |
2.69 |
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2.3 |
3.33 |
2.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.35) |
3.33 ↓
(3.63) |
2.67 ↑
(2.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Phrae United
39.3% | Draw
27% | Nongbua Pitchaya
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phrae United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+2%)Phrae United - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Caio Rodrigues ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).Phrae has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nongbua Pitchaya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Phrae may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Phrae won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).Including home match between the teams, Phrae won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
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| 14 | Phrae | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Thai League 2 | | | 27.09.25 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Phrae United | 3:0 | | 13.01.24 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Phrae United | 3:2 | | 20.02.21 | Phrae United - Nongbua Pitchaya | 0:1 | | 20.09.20 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Phrae United | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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