Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 38

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Piacenza		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.83	3.9	3.2
	1.81	3.71	3.15
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.86	4	3.35
	1.87	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (3.08)	3.64 ↑ (3.14)	3.38 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
48.6%

Draw
24.7%

Vicenza Virtus
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

29%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piacenza's performance.

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vicenza Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piacenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vicenza Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Piacenza - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Piacenza will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piacenza: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Piacenza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vicenza Virtus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Vicenza Virtus have a series of home games.

Piacenza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
16.04.23	Pro Patria - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Piacenza - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Triestina - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Piacenza - Novara	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Piacenza - Lecco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTTT
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
16.04.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.04.23	Vicenza Virtus - Juventus U23	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.23	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Vicenza Virtus - Trento	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Vicenza Virtus - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.22	Vicenza Virtus - Piacenza	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
13.10.19	Piacenza - Vicenza Virtus	2:1

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