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Current Win Probability
Pergolettese 17.8%
Draw 27.9%
Vicenza Virtus 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.4%
26%
59.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.1%
25.5%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vicenza Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vicenza Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 26. Bane A. 14. Lambrughi A. 13. Benvenuto M. 27. Aidoo M. 6. Dore S. 4. Arini M. 21. Careccia S. 77. Pessolani G. 9. Parker S. 10. Ferrandino D.
16. Gagno R. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 27. Sandon T. 28. Caferri L. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 24. Alessio F. 19. Tribuzzi A. 9. Morra C. 11. Stuckler D.
Substitutes
11. Corti N. 22. Doldi F. (G) 12. Finardi E. (G) 90. Giroletti 80. Jaouhari Z. 44. Ogliari 19. Pala A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 7. Tomaselli G. 20. Tremolada M.
1. Basso M. (G) 23. Benassai F. 22. Bianchi G. (G) 10. Capello A. 8. Cavion M. 21. Cester S. 76. Fantoni N. 26. Pellizzari G. 77. Rada A. 44. Talarico R. 33. Vescovi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Morra C. 🟨,
32', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
33', Aidoo M. 🟨,
37', Leverbe M. 🟨,
41', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Ferrandino D. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
61', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Talarico R. ↑,
61', Morra C. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
61', Alessio F. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
67', Cordaro L. 🟨,
72', Dore S. 🟨,
72', Zonta L. ↓, Pellizzari G. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Pellizzari G. ⚽,
79', Parker S. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
81', Leverbe M. ↓, Benassai F. ↑,
85', Cordaro L. 🟨,
90', Pessolani G. ↓, Doldi F. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 0.
Pergolettese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vicenza Virtus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Vicenza Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vicenza Virtus is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
Italy
Watch
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Cordaro L. (G) 
Leverbe M. 
Stuckler D. 
Giroletti 
Rada A. 
