Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Pianese		Città di Castello

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.62	3.5	4.2
	1.7	3.6	4.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	4.35 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
54.1%

Draw
25.3%

Città di Castello
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

21.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Città di Castello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pianese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out)).

Recent matches Pianese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Città di Castello has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Città di Castello could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pianese is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pianese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.03.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Pianese	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Pianese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Pianese	1:3 ✺
19.02.23	Pianese - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Terranuova Traiana - Pianese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWTL
- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.03.23	Città di Castello - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Arezzo - Città di Castello	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Città di Castello - Tau Altopascio	1:3 ✺
19.02.23	Livorno - Città di Castello	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Città di Castello - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
13.11.22	Città di Castello - Pianese	1:3
06.03.16	Città di Castello - Pianese	2:2

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