Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Città di Castello		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	2	3.15	3.35
	2.05	3.1	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Castello
44%

Draw
29%

Ostia Mare
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Città di Castello have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Città di Castello - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ostia Mare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Città di Castello will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Città di Castello won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
05.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Città di Castello - Montespaccato	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Città di Castello - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Città di Castello	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Città di Castello - Seravezza Pozzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTL
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
29.01.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Orvietana - Ostia Mare	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Ostia Mare - Trestina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
09.10.22	Ostia Mare - Città di Castello	1:3

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