Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 4 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)


	Piast Gliwice		Karviná

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.68	3.85	4.04
	1.67	4.08	4.51	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.71	3.98	4.67	Watch
	1.69	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	4.48 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
55.2%

Draw
24.2%

Karviná
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karviná might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Piast Gliwice - Karviná Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Plach F. (G) . Ameyaw M. . Czerwinski J. . Felix J. . Kostadinov T. . Lesniak O. . Mokwa T. . Mosor A. . Piasecki F. . Szczepanski M. . Tomasiewicz G.	. Knobloch M. (G) . Bergqvist D. . Ezeh L. . Fleisman J. . Memic A. . Moses D. . Planka D. . Raspopovic M. . Regali M. . Samko D. . Svozil J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Ezeh L. ⚽,
33', Raspopovic M. 🟨,
33', Felix J. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Felix J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Plach F. ↓, Szymanski K. ↑,
46', Ameyaw M. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
46', Czerwinski J. ↓, Drapinski I. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Kadzior D. ⚽,

Preview

Piast is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karviná in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Piast could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Piast is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Piast to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Piast won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Club Friendly
30.06.24	Piast Gliwice - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Polonia Bytom - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.05.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- MFK Karviná
Club Friendly
29.06.24	GKS Tychy - Karviná	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Karviná	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.06.24	Karviná - Vyškov	1:0 ✺
30.05.24	Vyškov - Karviná	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Karviná - Dynamo České Budějovice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.11.23	Piast Gliwice - Karviná	3:0
05.09.20	Piast Gliwice - Karviná	0:0
20.01.18	Karviná - Piast Gliwice	1:1

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