Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 3

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Wisła Płock		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.42	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.57	3.3	2.99
	2.52	3.22	2.81	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.51	3.32	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.37)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
38.2%

Draw
29%

Piast Gliwice
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Piast (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Piast (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 2. Custovic K. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 30. Nowak W. 11. Jimenez J. 66. Salvador I. 20. Sekulski L. (C)	26. Plach F. (G) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 29. Drapinski I. 55. Twumasi E. 10. Dziczek P. 77. Jirka E. 17. Boisgard Q. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Felix J. 63. Barkovskiy G.
Substitutes
7. Barnowski D. 27. Borowski B. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. 22. Krawczyk P. 91. Kuchko G. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 37. Tomczyk O.	28. Borowski F. 27. Daniel J. 5. Juande 31. Lesniak O. 36. Lewicki J. 19. Lubowiecki K. 23. Mucha S. 79. Rychta D. (G) 11. Sanca L. 33. Szymanski K. (G)
Coaches
Misiura M.	Molder M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
59', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Plach F. (Own goal),
62', Chrapek M. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
63', Dziczek P. 🟨,
63', Salvador I. 🟨,
68', Salvador I. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
73', Drapinski I. 🟨,
80', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
83', Jimenez J. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
83', Sekulski L. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
87', Twumasi E. 🟨,
87', Czerwinski J. ↓, Juande ↑,
88', Jirka E. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
88', Kun D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
88', Custovic K. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1.

Wisła Płock is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Piast's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A. (Injury) Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Wieckowski M. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Wisła Płock will win today's game, with odds of 2.45.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
04.07.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWTWW
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.25	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	Piast Gliwice - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Odra Opole - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
16.04.23	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Płock	1:0
30.09.22	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	1:0
13.02.22	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	0:2
14.08.21	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Płock	4:3
03.04.21	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	0:1
23.10.20	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Płock	2:2
21.12.19	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	2:1

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