Match Info

Date: 15 June 2022, Wednesday


	Piast Żmigród		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.5
	2.2	4	2.5
	2.23	3.75	2.5
	2.12	3.84	2.34
	2.35	3.4	2.45
	2.35	3.7	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3.37)	3.73 ↑ (3.59)	2.47 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Żmigród
39.9%

Draw
24%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.5%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Żmigród has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Żmigród's performance.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie 2 Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Żmigród than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Żmigród that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie 2 Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	9.5%	23.8%

Piast Żmigród - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Piast Żmigród will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Zagłębie 2 will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast Żmigród: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piast Żmigród won 1.

Piast Żmigród is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie 2 is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Piast Żmigród won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast Żmigród won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Żmigród
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.06.22	Polonia Bytom - Piast Żmigród	5:0 ✺
04.06.22	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:5 ✺
28.05.22	Foto-Higiena Błyskawica Gać - Piast Żmigród	2:3 ✺
21.05.22	Piast Żmigród - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:2 ✺
14.05.22	Ślęza Wrocław - Piast Żmigród	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLT
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.06.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Stal Brzeg	3:2 ✺
04.06.22	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:3 ✺
28.05.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	5:1 ✺
21.05.22	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
15.05.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.11.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Piast Żmigród	5:3
05.05.21	Piast Żmigród - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2
26.09.20	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Piast Żmigród	3:3
05.10.19	Piast Żmigród - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2
29.05.19	Piast Żmigród - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1
10.11.18	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Piast Żmigród	2:0
14.04.18	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Piast Żmigród	1:3

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