Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Pilica Białobrzegi		Legia II

	1	X	2
	4.17	3.93	1.62
	4.4	4.1	1.63	Watch
	4.8	4.25	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.2)	4.09 ↑ (3.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pilica Białobrzegi
20.4%

Draw
22.2%

Legia II
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.3%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

22.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pilica Białobrzegi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Pilica Białobrzegi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Legia II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Legia II is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pilica Białobrzegi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pilica Białobrzegi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.09.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pilica Białobrzegi	4:0 ✺
02.09.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - GKS Bełchatów	1:5 ✺
27.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:3 ✺
23.08.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Wikielec - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWLT
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.09.23	Mławianka Mława - Legia II	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Legia II - Concordia Elbląg	5:0 ✺
23.08.23	Broń Radom - Legia II	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Legia II - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legia II	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.23	Legia II - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:4
08.10.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Legia II	1:0
12.03.22	Legia II - Pilica Białobrzegi	5:2
14.08.21	Pilica Białobrzegi - Legia II	3:1

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