Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Legia II

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.65	1.82
	3.90	3.84	1.74	Watch
	3.67	3.65	1.8	Watch
	4.25	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	3.84 ↓ (4.25)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
23.8%

Draw
23.7%

Legia II
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

21.2%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

20.8%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legia II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ryczkowski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Skrobala I. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Legia II is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Legia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Legia II is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:36. (average 1.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:5 ✺
07.11.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLW
- Legia II Warsaw
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.11.25	Widzew Łódź II - Legia II	0:5 ✺
02.11.25	Legia II - Broń Radom	7:0 ✺
29.10.25	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Wikielec - Legia II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.08.25	Legia II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:1
07.06.25	Legia II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2
30.11.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:5
03.03.24	Legia II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0
13.08.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legia II	4:2
19.03.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:1
17.08.22	Legia II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2

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