Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 6

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)


	Piracicaba		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.75
	1.92	2.78	4.35
	1.95	2.82	4.8
	2.26	2.60	3.85	Watch
	1.89	2.73	4.92
	1.81	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	4.56 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
47.9%

Draw
31.8%

São Bento
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

São Bento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piracicaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (-1%)

Piracicaba - São Bento Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - São Bento (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Almir Luan 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, David Ribeiro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 2 - 1, Hannyel ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 3.

Piracicaba is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Bento has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Piracicaba is a strong favorite.

We predict that Piracicaba will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Piracicaba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Copa Paulista
12.07.25	Paulista - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
04.07.25	Piracicaba - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
30.06.25	Guarani B - Piracicaba	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Piracicaba - Rio Branco de Americana	3:1 ✺
16.06.25	São Bento - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWT
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Copa Paulista
12.07.25	EC Primavera - São Bento	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	São Bento - Guarani B	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Rio Branco de Americana - São Bento	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Paulista - São Bento	4:2 ✺
16.06.25	São Bento - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.06.25	São Bento - Piracicaba	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.02.25	Piracicaba - São Bento	0:0
27.01.24	São Bento - Piracicaba	0:2
Brazilian Copa Paulista
12.08.22	Piracicaba - São Bento	2:1
09.07.22	São Bento - Piracicaba	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.03.22	Piracicaba - São Bento	1:5
26.03.22	São Bento - Piracicaba	1:0

Piracicaba - São Bento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide