Match Info

Date: 20 August 2021, Friday


	Pirata		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.8	1.7
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.3	3.65	1.81
	3.48	3.86	1.88
	3.72	3.68	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.51)	3.7 ↓ (3.83)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
25.5%

Draw
24.4%

Atlético Grau
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.7%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

19.7%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pirata's performance.

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pirata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Grau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.3%	16.1%	22.6%

Pirata - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Pirata will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Grau will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirata: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Pirata is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Grau have a series of home games.

In this match Grau is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
13.08.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Pirata	3:3 ✺
10.08.21	Unión Comercio - Pirata	4:2 ✺
06.08.21	Pirata - Juan Aurich	2:2 ✺
29.07.21	Pirata - Deportivo Coopsol	3:3 ✺
22.07.21	Chavelines Juniors - Pirata	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTTL
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 2
13.08.21	Atlético Grau - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
10.08.21	Deportivo Coopsol - Atlético Grau	0:2 ✺
05.08.21	Atlético Grau - Chavelines Juniors	2:2 ✺
29.07.21	Atlético Grau - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
25.07.21	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWL

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