Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 3

Date: 12 February 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)


	Atlético Grau		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6	Watch
	1.46	4	5.75
	1.47	4.35	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.3	6.2
	1.46	3.98	6.75
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.47	4.33	6.3	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.16)	4.17 ↑ (3.35)	6.19 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
63.1%

Draw
22%

Unión Comercio
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Comercio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Grau will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (G) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A. 8. Soto D. 14. Alvarez L. 77. Da Luz M. 7. Sandoval R. 25. Mora O. 11. Bandiera N.	1. Barrios I. (G) 3. Paredes T. 5. Sanchez K. 20. Ramirez C. 17. Vargas D. 10. Hernan Perez 31. Serra P. 25. Millan D. 27. Trujillo L. 9. de Jesus M. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A.
Substitutes
2. Ampuero A. 10. de la Cruz P. 17. Figueroa N. 16. F. Rojas 29. Garcia Ceriani B. 18. Godos F. 21. Reynoso A. (G) 6. Rodas E. 20. Vasquez A.	29. Alvarez J. 12. Diaz W. (G) 11. Guerrero G. 28. Labrin V. 4. Perez V. 14. Regalado I. 2. Salas J. 8. Sandoval V. 19. Uribe C.
Coaches
Comizzo A.	Craviotto N.

Preview

Unión Comercio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grau is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
03.02.24	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
23.10.23	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	0:4 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWT
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
03.02.24	Unión Comercio - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
29.01.24	Los Chankas - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	ADT Tarma - Unión Comercio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.10.23	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	0:1
10.06.23	Unión Comercio - Atlético Grau	2:2
Peruvian Liga 2
01.09.21	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	2:1
25.07.21	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	1:2

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